Horse Racing Breeding - Our Latest Discoveries


The Kentucky Derby takes place every year on the first Saturday in May, and its a race that many horse racing novices like to follow. The Derby attracts the most mainstream attention along with the Breeders' Cup and the other' Triple Crown' races. Understanding the intricacies of horse racing is a highly involved study.

While understanding and predicting horse races is a highly complex discipline, below are some basics that can contribute to the amateur understand the Kentucky Derby. Back during the seventies, it was a race dominated by the favorite including three great Triple Crown winners' Secretariat, Affirmed, and Seattle Slew 'and a great horse that came close, Spectacular Bid. Since Spectacular Bid won the Derby in 1979, however, you can count the favorites who have won the race on one side with fingers left over. If I was a serious horseplayer, I mightn't advise you to achieve this but since I'm just worried about predicting the results of this one race Im going to believe that you forget about the favorite altogether. Not only will you not be flying in the surface of recent history, but likewise it allows you to focus on the horses offering greater value.

So why has the favorite done so badly in recent years? One theory suggests that it's a by-proceeds of the hype surrounding the race. Novice horse fans back the favorite, making it rather a popularity contest than anything else. The reality is that the horse with the most hype isn't always the best horse.

When a domesticated horse falls ill, it is generally due to old age. Otherwise, with proper and regular medical care and checkups, it is quite rare for a horse to fall ill. A horse does begin to exhibit the telling signs of old age after around 15-18 years. Though there are some breeds that perform exceedingly well (in races) in their old age, there are a few that do not. In many cases, horse owners assume that the horse won't perform. Hence, instead of footing the bills to be given to the required medical attention and to assist the horse recuperate, they prefer to put out the horse and use a much younger horse for racing purposes. In this way, the life of a horse is grossly misjudged and hence, shortened.

The age of a horse can be measured by looking at its teeth. The more worn out the teeth are, the older the horse is. However, this might be a little tricky with purebred horses, because they're given proper dental treatment regularly.

Another important component of Kentucky derby success is the post position of the horses. The innermost positions (1 through 5) have produced more than 40 per cent of all Derby winners, while the outer post positions (11 through 20) have had only 13% winners. Note that in some years there mightn't be that many horses in the race. This would help partially explain the poor execution of the outer start positions. Still, for the application of understanding a single race eliminating all of the least favorable start positions is a good idea.

Another factor worthy of consideration is the horses lineage and breeding. Start at the beginning 'where the horse was born. Most, but not all, serious racehorses are born in Kentucky. If you see a horse in the race that wasnt, forget them. This isn't any kind of home field advantage but a consequence of the concentration of the Thoroughbred horse industry in the state. Over 80% of Kentucky Derby winners have been born in Kentucky. Next, consider the horses gender, or more specifically dont consider any entry with a gender other than male. Only eleven horses other than intact males have ever won the race (eight geldings and three fillies). A gelding did win as recently as 2003, when Funny Cide took the roses but again for the newcomer this is a simple way to cut down the horses under consideration. This isnt a gender bias or anything. However, for our purposes we can forget about non-male horses.

Don't forget to consider dosage index numbers. These are a complex mathematical formula that measures a horse's breeding lineage plus his past performance. You want to search for horses with a dosage index of 4.00 or less-- over half of Derby winners have met this criteria since dosage numbers came into common usage during the mid 1980's.

For a more serious introduction to horse racing, check out the many books available on this item at any large bookstore. For a casual fan who just follows the 'big races' these rules will allow you to get a decent grasp on the Kentucky Derby and understand who'll win and why.

08/14/2014 11:43:42
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